Sunday, March 11, 2012

Last Week in Review and What is Pinterest?


In This Issue


Last Week in Review: The Jobs Report for February was released - find out if
 the news was positive or negative for Bonds and home loan rates. 

Forecast for the Week: A busy week is ahead, with key reports on inflation,
 consumer spending, and manufacturing. Plus, the Fed meets. 

View: Think Pinterest is just for fun? Think again. 
Last Week in Review


Survey says? The Jobs Report for February was released...and overall the
 tone was positive. Here are the details, and what they mean for home loan rates.
On Friday, the
Labor Department
 reported that 
227,000 jobs were
 created in February,
 with 233,000 
private job gains 
offsetting slower
government job 
losses. Adding to
the positive overall
 tone were upward
 revisions to both 
December's and
 January's job growth
 readings, which added another 61,000 jobs to what was previously reported. 

In addition, the Unemployment Rate held steady at 8.3%. One thing that is 
important to note is that wage growth continues to lag even the tepid amount of 
inflation we are seeing right now. And negative earnings growth - 
compounded with consumers still deleveraging accumulated debt - makes it very 
hard for the economy to grow at a pace robust enough to significantly lower the 
unemployment rate. Also, a low Hourly Earnings reading also tells us there is 
no upward pressure to raise wages, which is sometimes a precursor to more hiring.

This mix of news made the report an okay one overall...and since Stocks (not Bonds) 
 usually benefit when there is great news, the "okay" tone actually was good for Bonds
 and home loan rates. 

In news overseas, private investors in Greek debt were coaxed into forgiving more 
that 100 Billion Euros ($132 Billion) of debt in order to provide another bailout to 
the country. It's important to understand that this deal does not solve the problems in 
Greece, but only provides a hefty kick of the can down the road. New problems will
emerge once the country has to meet austerity measures along with the "tighter 
fiscal union" guidelines and metrics set forth by Germany. And as uncertainty
overseas continues, our Bonds (including Mortgage Bonds, which home loan 
rates are tied to) could continue to benefit from safe haven trading. 

The bottom line is that now continues to be a great time to purchase or 
refinance a home, as home loan rates remain near historic lows. Let me 
know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients.
Forecast for the Week


Several important economic reports will be released this week, including news on consumer spending, inflation and manufacturing.
  • A very important report that gauges consumer spending is Tuesday's Retail Sales data. Consumer spending makes up almost 70% of Gross Domestic Product, so spending decisions will surely influence the direction of the U.S. economy.
  • In the manufacturing sector, the Empire State Index from New York and Philadelphia Fed Index will both be released on Thursday. In addition, Industrial Production will be delivered on Friday.
  • Inflation data in the form of the Consumer Price Index will be released on Friday and carries a bit more weight than Thursday's Producer Price Index, which measures inflation at the wholesale level.
  • Initial Weekly Jobless Claims will be released on Thursday. The number of people filing for unemployment benefits is at four-year lows.
  • The last bit of data for the week comes Friday with Consumer Sentiment.
In addition to those reports, the Fed's statement will be released Tuesday afternoon after the FOMC meeting. Depending on what the Fed says in that statement, Bonds and home loan rates could be impacted. 

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result. 

As discussed above, when it comes to February's Jobs Report, the headline number and some of the sub-components of the Jobs Report were positive. However, overall the report is being viewed as an okay read and one of more modest improvement. I'll be keeping a close eye on this week's economic reports, and what they might mean for home loan rates.
chart
The Mortgage Market Guide View...



Pinterest…for Business?
Social media has been all the buzz the last few years in the business world. Facebook and Twitter have become important tools for connecting with potential clients…and LinkedIn has turned networking into a virtual reality. 

But with all the new social media sites and tools popping up, it's hard to know what new sites to adopt. One site that may seem to fly under the radar as being less focused on business is the social media site Pinterest

Pinterest is an image-based social network that lets you create a virtual bulletin board. In other words, it's an online "pin board" that lets you organize and share interesting things that you find on the Internet. While that may not sound very business like, the number of hits that the site has been getting may pique your interest. 

For example, Pinterest is now one of the top 10 social networking and forum websites. In addition, Pinterest raised $37 million in funding last year and has an unconfirmed valuation of up to $200 million. And Pinterest has been reaching 7 million to 10 million visitors a month in the US alone. 

Those stats are drawing more and more people to explore Pinterest as a business tool. And for people who work in the housing and financial industries, Pinterest can actually make a lot of sense. This is especially true when you consider the connection between images and the topics of homes, home improvements, decorating, and so on! After all, people are always looking for ideas and inspiration for their homes. Just imagine how many past clients and potential clients would follow your images related to housing. 

That's why so many business people are now starting to use Pinterest as a way to engage with customers…to boost their social media presence by connecting their sites…and to get more out of their online marketing efforts. 

It's the perfect way to connect with potential clients in a way that keeps you top-of-mind in a professional yet friendly way. If you're interested in Pinterest for business, take a look at the following links that can help you get started with ideas and tips:
Remember, if a picture is worth a thousand words, think about how many "words" you'll be able to share with potential clients on a site like Pinterest.
Economic Calendar for the Week of March 12 - March 16
Date
ET
Economic Report
For
Estimate
Actual
Prior
Impact
Tue. March 13
08:30
Retail Sales
Feb
0.1%

0.4%
HIGH
Tue. March 13
08:30
Retail Sales ex-auto
Feb
0.7%

0.7%
HIGH
Tue. March 13
02:15
FOMC Meeting
Mar


.25%
HIGH
Thu. March 15
10:00
Philadelphia Fed Index
Mar
12.5

10.2
HIGH
Thu. March 15
08:30
Core Producer Price Index (PPI)
Feb
0.2%

0.4%
Moderate
Thu. March 15
08:30
Producer Price Index (PPI)
Feb
0.5%

0.1%
Moderate
Thu. March 15
08:30
Empire State Index
Mar
15.0

19.5
HIGH
Thu. March 15
08:30
Jobless Claims (Initial)
3/10
358K

362K
Moderate
Fri. March 16
08:30
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Feb
0.4%

0.2%
HIGH
Fri. March 16
08:30
Core Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Feb
0.2%

0.2%
HIGH
Fri. March 16
09:15
Industrial Production
Feb
0.5%

0.0%
Moderate
Fri. March 16
09:15
Capacity Utilization
Feb
78.8%

78.5%
Moderate
Fri. March 16
10:00
Consumer Sentiment Index (UoM)
Mar
76.0

75.3
Moderate

The material contained in this newsletter is provided by a third party to real estate, financial services and other professionals only for their use and the use of their clients. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness and as a result, there is no guarantee it is without errors.

As your mortgage professional, I am sending you the MMG WEEKLY because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

Mortgage Success Source, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated.   Mortgage Success Source, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email.   You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose.

Equal Housing Lender          

No comments:

Post a Comment